Premier League permutations: What each teams needs as Liverpool take control of top four fight, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham battle West Ham for sixth

There are just two gameweeks left in the 2020/21 Premier League season and there is still lots to be decided at the top of the table.

Manchester City have been crowned champions while Sheffield United, West Brom and Fulham are already relegated.

The Premier League race for European football is heating up ahead of the last two games
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But the race for the European places is heating up nicely as teams head into their final two games and it is set to go right down to the wire. 

Here’s what is on the line this weekend and what could get resolved…

Premier League permutations 

Man City have been crowned champions and so have secured their place in the Champions League next season. They will face Chelsea in the final of this year’s elite European competition on May 29.

Likewise, Manchester United have already confirmed a top-four finish this season but they still need at least one more win to be sure of finishing second. The Red Devils will then face Villarreal in the Europa League final on May 26.

The top four teams in the Premier League will qualify for the group stages of the Champions League while winning either of Europe’s tournaments will also secure a place in the group phase.

A maximum of five English teams can play in the Champions League.

While City and United are already in, Chelsea winning the Champions League but finishing fifth would see England’s five team quota fulfilled.

Premier League fixtures on talkSPORT

Tuesday, May 18, 19:00 – Brighton v Manchester City – talkSPORT EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday, May 19, 18:00 – Tottenham v Aston Villa – talkSPORT 2 EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday, May 19, 18:00 – Newcastle v Sheffield United – talkSPORT APP EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday, May 19, 19:00 – Crystal Palace v Arsenal – talkSPORT APP EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday, May 19, 20:15 – Burnley v Liverpool – talkSPORT EXCLUSIVE

The Blues, Leicester and Liverpool are in the mix to finish in the top four while Tottenham and West ham are not mathematically out of it yet either.

There is then the matter of the Europa League qualification and for the new Europa Conference League.

The fifth-placed team and winners of the FA Cup will qualify for the group stage proper of the Europa League.

Leicester beat Chelsea in the cup final last weekend and if both finish in the top four, the Europa League spot will go to the next highest-ranked side which has not qualified for a UEFA competition.

The Europa Conference League spot will go to the EFL Cup winners. As Man City won that trophy, their spot will again go to the next highest-ranked team which has not qualified for a UEFA competition.

That means the top seven clubs in the Premier League are set to secure European football next season. Here’s what could happen…

The Premier League table as it stands

Leicester 

66 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Chelsea (away), Tottenham (home)

Leicester secured European football over the weekend by claiming glory at Wembley in the FA Cup.

They are also in the driving seat to finish third and know four points from their remaining two games will secure Champions League football.

The Foxes are now guaranteed a place in the Europa League should they slip out of the top four and will finish fifth at worse.

Arsenal’s exit from the Europa League means the nightmare scenario of finishing fourth but not getting Champions League football can no longer happen.

Chelsea 

64 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Leicester (home), Aston Villa (away)

Beaten FA Cup finalists Chelsea need to win their remaining two league games to be sure of a top-four finish. Tuesday’s Premier League game against Leicester will be crucial.

The Blues would also secure Champions League football if they beat Man City in the final of this season’s tournament last this month.

Should they suffer a complete collapse, Thomas Tuchel’s team are not yet assured of Europa League football but would be highly unlucky to miss out.

Alisson’s stunning winner of West Brom has kept Liverpool in the hunt for a Champions League place
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Liverpool

63 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Burnley (away), Crystal Palace (home)

Goalkeeper Alisson’s remarkable winning against West Brom as ensured Liverpool are right in the mix for a top-four finish.

They will need to better the results of their rivals but Chelsea v Leicester on Tuesday, May 18 will be key for them as well.

Chelsea and Leicester cannot both finish the season with more than 69 points which is the maximum Liverpool can achieve. The Reds also have an inviting end to the season. 

There is a very real possibility of goal difference deciding who finishes fourth.

If Chelsea win their remaining games they will finish on 70 points and in third. If Leicester lose to Chelsea but beat Tottenham on the final day and Liverpool win their remaining three games, they will be on 69 each and goal difference will be used.

Ahead of the final two games, Liverpool and Leicester are both on +21. That could mean that even goals scored will have to be used with Foxes two ahead of the Reds as it stands.

Should Liverpool fail to finish in the top-four, a Europa League place beckons but a huge swing of results could see them drop into the Europa Conference League spot.

Tottenham

59 points, 36 games – Remaining Spurs games: Aston Villa (home), Leicester (away)

Tottenham win over Wolves means they can mathematically still reach Chelsea as they are five points behind with six to play for.

More likely is that Spurs will have to settle for a Europa League place and two wins in their final two games will confirm that.

Tottenham face Leicester on the final day in another key game.

The north Londoners could yet slip into the Europa Conference League place in seventh and are currently only ahead of West Ham on goal difference.

Tottenham are looking to finish as high as possible this season
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West Ham

59 points, 36 games – Remaining games: West Brom (away), Southampton (home)

Like Tottenham, West Ham could still reach the top four but that now seems highly unlikely following their draw at Brighton.

The Hammers will need to better Spurs’ results to claim a Europa League spot.

The Irons will also be concerned of missing out on European football completely with Everton, Arsenal and Leeds United all capable of catching them in the final two games.

Everton

56 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Wolves (home), Man City (away)

Everton are out of contention for a finish in the top five but could yet secure qualification for the Europa League or Europa Conference League.

The Toffees will need to better the results of West Ham and / or Tottenham to break into the European places.

Arsenal

55 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Crystal Palace (away), Brighton (home)

Like Everton, Arsenal are fighting for sixth or seventh.

They must better what Tottenham, West Ham and Everton do to have any chance of claiming European football next season.

Leeds United

53 points, 36 games – Remaining games: Southampton (away), West Brom (home)

Leeds’ 4-0 win at Burnley has kept their faint hopes of Europe alive.

They must win their remaining two games and then need a near-impossible swing in results to go their way.